Measures to Reduce Fuel GHG Emissions. Christoph Bender Managing Director Mineralölwirtschaftsverband

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1 Session 1: Decarbonization of the Transport Sector in Times of low Oil Prices Measures to Reduce Fuel GHG Emissions Christoph Bender Managing Director Mineralölwirtschaftsverband 1

2 1. MWV at a Glance Members: 12 integrated mineral oil companies CEO: Michael Schmidt, CEO BP Europe Main Task: National downstream lobbying Energy mix in Germany: Mineral oil = 33% of primary energy (2014), still number one Main outlet: Fuels for transport. Diesel: 37 Mio. t, Gasoline: 18 Mio. t (2015) Principles: Level Playing field, free market economy 2

3 2. The Look Back: Oil Price (source: oilprice.com) 3

4 2. The Look Back: German Oil Consumption

5 3. The Current Situation: The Mixed Approach Fuels and Engines in Germany on January 1st 2015: 44,4 million passenger cars 29.8 million gasoline engines 13,8 million diesel engines LPG CNG Electric vehicles Hybrid Biofuel Quota Act: GHG-Reduction of 3,5 % per year 5

6 4. The Road Ahead The Road ahead to further GHS Emissions: The DLR Scenario DLR is the national aeronautics and space research center of the Federal Republic of Germany 2014 Scenario: The market for passenger cars in 2040 Guideline: Further CO 2 Reduction for passenger cars 2020: 95 g CO 2 /km; 2030: 70 g CO 2 /km; 2040: 45 g CO 2 /km The decision of the customer is the focal point of the study Customer decision based on mobility behavior, costs of ownership and well to wheel emissions 6

7 5. Passenger Cars 2040: The Mixed Approach Reloaded Passenger car fleet: Development until : 95 % passenger cars = combustion engine Hybrid is dominant = 26 million passenger cars 1,4 million electric vehicles 7

8 6. The Mixed Approach Reloaded: GHG Results in 2040 Passenger car fleet in 2040: CO 2 Emissionen nearly cut into halves Taking into account the energy policy triangle, GHG reduction is possible Combustion engine remains backbone of transport 8

9 7. The Political Roadmap to 2050 If the ambitious targets are to be met, whilst Germany also remains a competitive base for economic activity, the energy transition needs to be a success not only in environmental, but also in economic terms. ( ) The overarching principle for the energy reforms is the "energy policy triangle" of a secure, affordable and environmentally compatible energy supply. Curbing mobility is not an option 9

10 Thank you for your Attention! Der Inhalt dieser Datei ist Eigentum des Mineralölwirtschaftsverbandes e. V. (MWV). Layout und textliche Inhalte dieser Präsentation sowie der verwendeten Grafiken unterliegen dem Urheberrecht und anderen Gesetzen zum Schutz des geistigen Eigentums. Für die Verwendung, Veränderung und Vervielfältigung ist daher die ausdrückliche Genehmigung des MWV erforderlich. Insbesondere ist es verboten, die Inhalte zu verändern und zu kopieren und auf andere Weise zu verwenden. Dies gilt auch für die auszugsweise Verwendung von Inhalten. MWV hat sich bei Erstellung der Folien um Aktualität und inhaltliche Richtigkeit bemüht; sollten die Folien dennoch fehlerhaft sein oder werden, haftet MWV dafür nicht. 10