Project Presentation Detection of Development Trends in the National Forest Inventory Data for WEHAM- Forest Development and Timber Resource Modeling

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1 Project Presentation Detection of Development Trends in the National Forest Inventory Data for WEHAM- Forest Development and Timber Resource Modeling Thünen Institute of Forest Ecosystems Page Eberswalde 0

2 Content 1. Research question and WEHAM 2. Approach 3. Results 4. Outlook Page 1

3 Introduction Reseqarch Task Project in the Thünen Insitute for Forest Ecology, WEHAM scenario project Projection of forest development under consideration of management plans, reduced and intensified timber use -> Need for a additional scenario from the past NFI- data trends ( Business as usual )! Page 2

4 Introduction Research Task Detection of Development Trends in the National Forest Inventory Data for WEHAM- Forest Development and Timber Resource Modeling Page 3

5 Introduction Research Task WEHAM - Forest Development and Timber Resource Modeling Designed for data of the National Forest Inventory (NFI) Distance- independent single-tree model Large-scale projections 3 different modelling components for growth, forest management and assortments Page 4

6 WEHAM Individual projections for: Federal state Type of ownership Tree species WEHAM scenario Assortment module NFI data Growth module Management module Figure: WEHAM Concept adaptaed from Dr. Joachim Rock Page 5

7 Introduction Research Task Growth module: ->functions derived from past inventory data Management module: ->parameters to specify forest management and harvest: type of removal, intervals, stand age, average stand height, target dbh) ->amount of removal referenced to yield table values Page 6

8 Methods Determination of the Rotation Age Basal area index Identifies those stands removed in the inventory period (NFI) Index (GFI) : basal areas in 2012 and in 2002 GFI = G(NFI2012)/G(NFI2002) < 0,25 Threshold of 0,25 adapted from previous studies Count of stand removals in each age class Decision for the age class with most counts Page 7

9 Age Results 200 Index of basal area - State forest Results Baden-Württemberg Bavaria Berlin/Brandenburg Hesse Lower Saxony Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania North Rhine-Westphalia Rhineland Palatinate Saarland Saxony Saxony-Anhalt Schleswig-Holstein Thuringia 0 ODL ODS Beech Douglas Fir Oak Spruce Pine Larch Fir Tree species Figure: Age with maximum number of indices below 0,25 Page 8

10 Results Figure: Counts of removed stands by age Page 9

11 Results Figure: Counts of removed stands by age, example state forest, Lower Saxony, oak Page 10

12 Results? Figure: Counts of removed stands by age, example state forest, Low Saxony, Pine Page 11

13 Outlook Results for the rotation age oexpand with target diameter oapplication in WEHAM ocomparison of the results Page 12

14 Thank you for your attention! Page 13

15 Sources Bundesministerium für Ernährung und Landwirtschaft. (2011, May). Aufnahmeanweisung für die dritte Bundeswaldinventur. Retrieved April 20, 2016, from Polley, H. (2008). Der Normalvorrat - Orientierungsgröße für Szenarien in der Waldentwicklung. AFZ - Der Wald, Polley, H., & Kroiher, F. (2006). Arbeitsbericht - Struktur und regionale Verteilung des Holzvorrates und des potenziellen Rohholzaufkommens in Deutschland im Rahmen der Cluster Forst- und Holzwirtschaft. Eberswalde: Bundesforschungsanstalt für Forst- und Holzwirtschaft. Speidel, D. G. (1972). Planung im Forstbetrieb. Hambug und Berlin: Verlag Paul Parey Rock, J.(2014).WEHAM - Grundlagenschulung Page 14

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