Curriculum Vitae Heiner Mikosch
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1 Curriculum Vitae Heiner Mikosch Personal and Contact Information Date of Birth October 8, 1979 Place of Birth Citizenship Civil Status Address Freiburg im Breisgau German Married, one child KOF Swiss Economic Institute ETH Zurich, LEE G 116 Leonhardstrasse Zurich, Switzerland Phone Website mikosch@kof.ethz.ch Current Position Since 03/2016 Since 01/2012 Head of Section International Business Cycles, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Senior Researcher, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich KOF Economic Forecasts: International forecasts, especially Euro Area and China; impact of international macroeconomic environment on Switzerland Semiannual Joint Economic Analysis on behalf of the German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs and Energy ( Gemeinschaftsdiagnose ), Coordinator Section International Macroeconomic Environment KOF Representative at the European Association of Economic Research Institutes (AIECE) Empirical macroeconomic research: Macroeconomic forecasting; effects of international shocks on the domestic economy; multivariate analysis of business tendency surveys; macroeconomic survey experiments Education 05/ /2011 Ph.D. in Economics, Chair of Applied Macroeconomics, ETH Zurich Thesis: Heiner Mikosch: Rigidities, Institutions and the Macroeconomy. KOF Dissertation Series No. 13, Zurich Advisors: Jan-Egbert Sturm (ETH Zurich), Jakob de Haan (De Nederlandsche Bank and University of Groningen), Axel Dreher (University of Heidelberg) 01/ /2009 Swiss Program for Beginning Doctoral Students in Economics, Study Center Gerzensee Econometrics: Mark W. Watson, Bo E. Honoré (both Princeton University) 1/8
2 Macroeconomics: Robert G. King (Boston University), Sergio T. Rebelo (Northwestern University), Jordi Galí (Universitat Pompeu Fabra) Microeconomics: Klaus M. Schmidt (University of Munich), Jean-Charles Rochet (University of Toulouse), Mathias Dewatripont (Université Libre de Bruxelles), John H. Moore (London School of Economics) 10/ /2007 Master in Philosophy and Political Science, University of Munich 10/ /2006 Study abroad, Université Charles de Gaulle, Lille 10/ /2005 Master in Economics, University of Munich Thesis: The Political Economy of Public Deficits (in German) Supervisor: Hans-Werner Sinn 10/ /2003 Bachelor in Economics, University of Freiburg im Breisgau 10/ /2003 Bachelor in Philosophy and Political Science, University of Freiburg im Breisgau 09/ /2000 Civil Service: Working with troubled youths, Christophorus-Jugendwerk, Breisach 07/ /1999 Senior High School, Wilhelmsgymnasium, Kassel 07/ /1993 Junior High School, Theodor-Heuss-Gymnasium, Aalen Visiting Scholarships, Internships etc. 10/2015 Visiting Scholar, Fudan University, Shanghai 12/ /2015 Visiting Scholar, Bank of Finland, Helsinki 07/2010 Visiting Scholar, University of Hamburg 10/ /2009 Visiting Scholar, World Trade Organization, Geneva 07/ /2004 Internship, Siemens (Chief Economist Department), Munich 08/ /2003 Student Assistant, Walter-Eucken-Institut, Freiburg im Breisgau Continuing Education, Courses 09/2015 Mike West (Duke University): Bayesian Dynamic Modelling and Forecasting, Study Center Gerzensee 08/2013 James Hamilton (University of California): Time Series Econometrics, Study Center Gerzensee 08/2012 John Geweke (Sydney): Bayesian Econometrics and its Applications, Study Center Gerzensee 12/2011 Gary Koop (Strathclyde): Bayesian Methods in Empirical Macroeconomics, Queen Mary University, London, Great Britain 10/2011 Eric Ghysels (Chapel Hill): Econometric Analysis of Mixed Frequency Data, European University Institute, Florence, Italy 08/2011 Ricardo Reis (Columbia University): Macroeconomics and Imperfect Information, Study Center Gerzensee 08/2011 Jesus Crespo Cuaresma (Wien): Bayesian Model Averaging, ETH Zurich 02/2011 Simon van Norden (Montréal): Latent Variables and State Space Modeling, ETH Zurich 2/8
3 08/2010 Guido Imbens (Harvard): Microeconometric Program Evaluation Methods, Study Center Gerzensee 08/2010 Harrison Hong (Princeton): Behavioral Finance, Study Center Gerzensee 05/2010 James R. Markusen (Boulder): International Trade and Investment, ETH Zurich 05/2010 Harry H. Kelejian (Maryland): Spatial Econometrics, University of Bern 08/2009 Joshua D. Angrist (MIT): Empirical Strategies for Applied Microeconomics, Study Center Gerzensee 10/2007 Jörg Breitung (Bonn): Panel Data Econometrics, ETH Zurich Publications in Refereed Journals 2015 Axel Dreher, Heiner Mikosch and Stefan Voigt, Membership has its Privileges. The Effect of Membership in International Organizations on FDI. World Development 66(C), pp Heiner Mikosch and Jan-Egbert Sturm, Has the EMU Reduced Wage Growth and Unemployment? Testing a Model of Trade Union Behaviour. European Journal of Political Economy 28, pp Heiner Mikosch and Silke Übelmesser, Staatsverschuldungsunterschiede im internationalen Vergleich and Schlussfolgerungen für Deutschland. Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik 8(4), pp Working Papers 2015 Dirk Drechsel, Heiner Mikosch, Samad Sarferaz and Matthias Bannert, Macro and micro level impulse responses: A survey experimental identification procedure. KOF Working Papers No. 386, June, Zurich Heiner Mikosch and Stefan Neuwirth, Real-Time Forecasting with a MIDAS VAR. KOF Working Papers No. 377, April, Zurich Dirk Drechsel, Heiner Mikosch, Samad Sarferaz and Matthias Bannert, How are firms affected by exchange rate shocks? Evidence from survey based impulse responses. KOF Working Papers No. 371, January, Zurich Heiner Mikosch and Ying Zhang, Forecasting Chinese GDP Growth with Mixed Frequency Data: Which Indicators to Look at? KOF Working Papers No. 359, July, Zurich Heiner Mikosch, Sticky Prices, Competition and the Phillips Curve. KOF Working Papers No. 294, January, Zurich Heiner Mikosch, Leaders, Institutions and Fiscal Discipline. ETH Zurich, mimeo Axel Dreher, Heiner Mikosch and Stefan Voigt, Membership has its Privileges. The Effect of Membership in International Organizations on FDI. CESifo Working Paper Series No. 3231, CESifo Group Munich. Reports 2016 Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Aufschwung bleibt moderat Wirtschaftspolitik wenig wachstumsorientiert. Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Spring 2016, Munich. 3/8
4 2016 K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, F. Eckert, A. Funk, M. Graff, F. Hälg, D. Iselin, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Rathke, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Schweizer Wirtschaft in turbulentem Umfeld. KOF Analysen, Spring 2016, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, A. Funk, M. Graff, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Rathke, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Moderates Wachstums, steigende Arbeitslosigkeit. KOF Analysen, Winter 2015, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, A. Funk, M. Graff, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Rathke, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Preissenkungen haben Einbruch abgefedert Abwertung hellt Aussichten auf. KOF Analysen, Herbst 2015, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Rathke, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Erholung in der EU Taucher in der Schweiz. KOF Analysen, Summer 2015, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Rathke, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Aufhebung Mindestkurs: Rosskur für die Schweizer Wirtschaft. KOF Analysen, Spring 2015, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, G. Greulich, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Rathke, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Kurs dank internationalem Rückenwind. KOF Analysen, Winter 2014, Zurich Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Deutsche Wirtschaft stagniert Jetzt Wachstumskräfte stärken. Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Fall 2014, Berlin K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, G. Greulich, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Rathke, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Warten auf den Aufschwung. KOF Analysen, Fall 2014, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, G. Greulich, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Rathke, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Stabiles Wachstum in einem sich verbessernden konjunkturellen Umfeld. KOF Analysen, Summer 2014, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, G. Greulich, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Rathke, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Robustes Wirtschaftswachstum. KOF Analysen, Spring 2014, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, M. Lamla, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Gute Konjunkturaussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft. KOF Analysen, Winter 2013, Zurich Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Konjunktur zieht an Haushaltsüberschüsse sinnvoll nutzen. Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Fall 2013, Essen K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, G. Greulich, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, M. Lamla, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, M. Siegenthaler, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Expansionskurs. KOF Analysen, Fall 2013, Zurich. 4/8
5 2013 K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, R. Aeppli, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, M. Lamla, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Sandqvist, S. Sarferaz, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Schweizer Wirtschaft wächst trotz Rezession in Europa. KOF Analysen, Summer 2013, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, R. Aeppli, E. Atukeren, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, M. Graff, F. Hälg, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, M. Lamla, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, A. Sandqvist, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Schweiz profitiert von Belebung der Weltwirtschaft. KOF Analysen, Spring 2013, Zurich K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, R. Aeppli, E. Atukeren, F. Chatagny, A. Dibiasi, D. Drechsel, A. Frick, M. Graff, G. Greulich, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, M. Lamla, A. Lassmann, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, P. Sandqvist, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Schweizer Wirtschaft von Eurokrise weniger betroffen als befürchtet, KOF Analysen, Winter 2012, Zurich Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Eurokrise dämpft Konjunktur Stabilitätsrisiken bleiben hoch. Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Fall 2012, Kiel K. Abberger, Y. Abrahamsen, R. Aeppli, E. Atukeren, D. Drechsel, A. Frick, G. Greulich, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, M. Lamla, A. Lassmann, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Verhaltene Konjunkturerholung Kaum Beschäftigungsanstieg, KOF Analysen, Fall 2012, Zurich Y. Abrahamsen, R. Aeppli, E. Atukeren, D. Drechsel, A. Frick, M. Graff, G. Greulich, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, K. Abberger, E. Köberl, M. Lamla, A. Lassmann, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Schweizer Wirtschaft behauptet sich in widrigem Umfeld, KOF Analysen, Summer 2012, Zurich Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose: Deutsche Konjunktur im Aufwind Europäische Schuldenkrise schwelt weiter. Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Spring 2012, Munich A. Frick, A. Lassmann, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth and T. Süllow: AIECE General Report Submitted to the Spring 2012 General Meeting of the Association of European Conjuncture Institutes. Association of European Conjuncture Institutes, reprinted in KOF Studien No. 33, Zurich Y. Abrahamsen, R. Aeppli, E. Atukeren, C. Busch, D. Drechsel, R. Etter, A. Frick, M. Graff, G. Greulich, J. Hartwig, D. Iselin, E. Köberl, M. Lamla, A. Lassmann, H. Mikosch, S. Neuwirth, B. Siliverstovs, B. Simmons-Süer, A. Stücker and J.-E. Sturm: Schweizer Wirtschaft übersteht Konjunkturabschwung relativ gut, KOF Analysen, Spring 2012, Zurich. Miscellaneous Publications 2013 Heiner Mikosch: Der Zusammenhang zwischen Preisen, Kapazitätsauslastung and Wettbewerb. KOF Analysen, Spring 2013, Zurich, pp Heiner Mikosch: China steht vor einem Umbruch. Ökonomenstimme, April Heiner Mikosch: Die chinesische Führung hat die Zügel gelockert. Heiner Mikosch über Chinas Aufschwung. Interview, SonntagsZeitung, April 22, 2012, p Andres Frick, Andrea Lassmann, Heiner Mikosch, Stefan Neuwirth and Theo Süllow: Wie beurteilen Ökonomen die europäische Schuldenkrise? Ökonomenstimme, June Andres Frick, Andrea Lassmann, Heiner Mikosch, Stefan Neuwirth and Theo Süllow, How Do Economists Assess the European Economic Crisis? A survey. VoxEU, June Heiner Mikosch: Rigidities, Institutions and the Macroeconomy. KOF Dissertation Series No. 13, Zurich Heiner Mikosch and Jan-Egbert Sturm: Positiv oder negativ? Einfluss des Euro auf den Arbeitsmarkt. Ökonomenstimme, Juli /8
6 Academic Conferences, Workshops and Talks 2015 Henan University Research Seminar, Kaifeng Fudan University Research Seminar, Shanghai Bank of Finland Research Seminar, Helsinki Chinese Economists Society (CES) Annual Conference, Chongqing 2014 Emerging Markets Workshop, Saariselkä International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics, Pisa Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET) Conference, Hangzhou Conference China after 35 Years of Economic Transition, London 2013 International Symposium on Forecasting, Seoul Beyond Basic Questions Workshop, Lucerne 2012 EABCN Conference Disaggregating the Business Cycle, Luxembourg Beyond Basic Questions Workshop, Groningen International Conference on Macroeconomic Analysis and International Finance (ICMAIF), Crete Congress of the Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), Zurich Young Swiss Economist Meeting (YSEM), Bern 2011 Congress of the Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), Lucerne 2010 Political Economy of International Organizations (PEIO), Washington D.C. European Public Choice Society (EPCS), Izmir International Political Economy Society (IPES), Harvard 2009 Political Economy of International Organizations (PEIO), Geneva Spring Meeting of Young Economists (SMYE), Istanbul European Public Choice Society (EPCS), Athens International Society for New Institutional Economics (ISNIE), Berkeley 2008 Macroeconomic Research Meeting (MAREM), Bonn Economic Policy Related Meetings 2016 Joint Economic Analysis on behalf of the German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs and Energy ( Gemeinschaftsdiagnose ): Spring 2016, Munich 2015 Association of European Conjuncture Institutes: Spring 2015 General Meeting, London 2014 Association of European Conjuncture Institutes: Fall 2014 General Meeting, Brussels 2014 Joint Economic Analysis on behalf of the German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs and Energy ( Gemeinschaftsdiagnose ): Fall 2014, Berlin 2013 Association of European Conjuncture Institutes: Spring 2013 General Meeting, Berlin and Fall 2013 General Meeting, Brussels 2013 Joint Economic Analysis on behalf of the German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs and Energy ( Gemeinschaftsdiagnose ): Fall 2013, Essen 2012 Association of European Conjuncture Institutes: Spring 2012 General Meeting, Madrid and Fall 2012 General Meeting, Brussels 2012 Joint Economic Analysis on behalf of the German Federal Ministry of Economic Affairs and Energy ( Gemeinschaftsdiagnose ): Spring 2012, Munich and Fall 2012, Kiel 6/8
7 Refereeing International Interactions Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis Journal of Asian Economics American Journal of Political Science Review of International Organizations Public Choice European Journal of Political Economy Journal of Common Market Studies Grants, Awards, Scholarships and Memberships 01/ /2015 Research grant from MTEC Foundation: Real-time forecasting with mixed-frequency data (CHF 70000, 3 grantees) 01/ /2016 Research grant from MTEC Foundation: Improving business cycle indicators with Bayesian Qualitative FAVAR (CHF 50000, 2 grantees) 2012 KOF Employee Award (Research) Since 05/2012 Since 02/2012 Since 12/2011 Since 04/2011 Member Verein für Socialpolitik (VfS) Member European Economic Association (EEA) Member Euro Area Business Cycle Network (EABCN) Member Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES) 04/ /2014 Research grant from Swiss National Science Foundation (SNF): Micro-foundation of economic dynamics NETSURF (CHF , 4 grantees) 2010 KOF Employee Award (Teaching) 10/ /2006 Erasmus grant for exchange studies at Université Charles de Gaulle, Lille 09/2005 Alumni Award for Young Economists, University of Munich: Third place of 2005 class 10/ /2005 Student Scholarship from the German Employers Federation (sdw) Teaching 10/2015 Intensive Course Economic Growth, Fudan University, Shanghai 09/ /2011 Tutorial Principles of Macroeconomics, ETH Zurich 02/ /2011 Tutorial Economic Growth, Cycles and Policy, ETH Zurich 09/ /2010 Tutorial Principles of Macroeconomics, ETH Zurich 02/ /2010 Tutorial Intermediate Macroeconomics, ETH Zurich 04/ /2002 Tutorial Introductory Course in Political Science, University of Freiburg im Breisgau Software Skills MATLAB (mainly for time series analysis) R (mainly for data processing, aggregation and visualization) Stata (mainly for panel data analysis) 7/8
8 Language Skills German English French Latin Mother tongue Fluent in speech, writing and reading Fluent in speech and reading Latinum This version: Zurich, April 27, /8
Curriculum Vitae Heiner Mikosch
Curriculum Vitae Heiner Mikosch Personal and Contact Information Date of Birth October 8, 1979 Place of Birth Citizenship Civil Status Address Freiburg im Breisgau German Married, one child KOF Swiss Economic
Curriculum Vitae Heiner Mikosch
Curriculum Vitae Heiner Mikosch Personal and Contact Information Date of Birth October 8, 1979 Place of Birth Citizenship Civil Status Address Freiburg im Breisgau German Married, one child KOF Swiss Economic
Curriculum Vitae David Iselin
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Dr. Christian Grimme Economist Ifo Institute Ifo Center for Business Cycle Analysis and Surveys Poschingerstraße 5 81679 München Phone: +49(0)89/9224-1285 Fax: +49(0)89/9224-1460 Email: grimme @ ifo.de
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CURRICULUM VITAE Mag. Adriana Nikolic (Budak) Juni, 2016 Persönliche Daten geboren am: Staatsangehörigkeit: E-Mail 15. November 1985 in Salzburg, Österreich Österreich adriana.nikolic@wu.ac.at Ausbildung
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